
Anthony Sebok, Cardozo School of Law
Recent analysis of tort law and liability trends within the US reveals significant shifts over time. More specifically, the ‘dispute pyramid’ model highlights that only a small fraction of real-world injuries result in legal claims, and even fewer cases proceed to adjudication. A notable paradox has emerged: despite tort reforms favouring defendants, plaintiffs are increasingly winning cases and receiving higher awards. This challenges traditional explanations of social inflation, particularly the view that antagonistic juries are the primary drivers of large corporate payouts.
Comparative developments suggest a growing doctrinal convergence between U.S. and European tort systems. As substantive and procedural rules across jurisdictions begin to align, there is potential for European victims to secure similarly outsized settlements, even in systems where judges rather than juries preside. Nevertheless, this outcome is not guaranteed. Tension remains between reforms intended to shield defendants and the increasing success of plaintiffs, prompting further scrutiny of settlement patterns and litigation strategies to better understand the underlying drivers of social inflation and prospective shifts in liability dynamics.



